Standard & Poor’s update rating for Ireland


Following  agreement to the 85 billions Euro bailout, Ireland is still “A” rated. I sincerely hope that the Eurozone crisis has been permanently averted and have no wish to see their cost of borrowing increase BUT surely “C” is a more credible rating!?

Lehman Bros was “AAA” rated just before their collapse.

Still, at least S&P are working to improve things stay relevant.

S&P Rating strata: Read more of this post

EU: Eurozone Structural Fragility Report – Q2 2010


Our complexity-based technology allows us to measure the fragility of the structure not only of corporations but also of the economies of single nations as well as of systems of nations. In an increasingly complex and turbulent world, taking a systems-centric approach is crucial if we are to develop a resilient and sustainable economy.

 

Based on publicly available macro-economic data Ontonix measures the fragility of the structure of the economy of each of the EU member states as well as of the entire system. A comprehensive report is published every quarter.

 

It is important to point out that an economy can possess a highly fragile structure and yet perform well from a financial standpoint. These two aspects are in fact uncoupled. A highly fragile system is obviously more exposed than a resilient one and exhibits lower chances of survival in a turbulent economy. A measure of fragility provides, therefore, new and crucial insight into the dynamics of a country’s economy.

 

 

Q4 2009 EU Structural Fragility Report. Download FREE sample copy here.

 

Q2 2010 EU Structural Fragility Report. NOW AVAILABLE for €199. Contact us to obtain a copy.

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Complexity: What’s in a name?


A widely accepted definition of complexity doesn’t exist. But that isn’t likely to stop any number of Consultancy firms selling services tailored to their own particular interpretation and “solution”.

Numerous Academic institutions dedicate considerable talent and resource to the study of complexity across disciplines.

Many of the “definitions” you are likely to come across convey an impression that complexity is a “twilight zone between chaos and order”! Hardly helpful when it comes to communicating on a subject that is already pretty abstract for many people familiar with  message conventional (but limited) disciplines, such as statistical and actuarial analyses, risk rating or management associated with financial risk. Read more of this post