Ontonix:: when Will the USA Collapse?


The European Union is in a state of evident and (possibly) irreversible demise. The first and most prominent reflection of this is the weakness of the Euro which we have recently forecasted to "dissolve" around Q3 of 2013. Once the common currency is gone, the union will probably transform into something else that is easier to manage, less complex, less heterogeneous. The structural resilience of the EU as a system has been very low (1 on a scale from 1 to 5) since November 2010 and this is certainly not a good omen.

Recently we have turned our attention to the US. Employing data from the World Bank we have rated the country as a system, incorporating into the analysis over 800 parameters spanning:

  • Economy
  • Industry
  • Agriculture
  • Energy
  • Society
  • Ecosystem
  • Transportation
  • Telecommunications
  • Military/Defence
  • Education
  • Health System
  • etc.

The result of this holistic rating process is a two-star resilience rating (i.e. low) corresponding, more or less, to the classical BBB rating. The resilience rating is not a measure of the country’s ability to pay its debt. It is a reflection of the resilience (fragility) of the system as a whole in its ability to withstand shocks and extreme events, or the so-called Black Swans.

via Ontonix – Complex Systems Management, Business Risk Management.

 

Reality Check

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