Fund Strategy Magazine: Complexity lessons from nature…revisited


Some cynics may say that I am re-visiting this blog item because it is coming up for the anniversary of its publication. WRONG.

Others could speculate that I have (finally) run out of things to say – you don’t know me very well! WRONG.

It is because it says what needs to be said, read and understood in order for some to avoid certain extinction and for others as a template from which to build a successful business in the future.


Fund Strategy Magazine: Complexity lessons from nature for a better economic future…
In case you thought that “complexity management” is just more mumbo jumbo from the financial sector I suggest that you read the following piece and any of my previous blogs on the subject of complexity. Complexity analysis, mapping and management is available NOW and, if a business leader is intent upon gaining a greater insight into their operations, making more informed decisions, managing more effectively, gaining competitive advantage and “st … Read More

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Is the "fire" taking hold in the Arab world? Tunisian “burning man revolution” a lesson in Complexity Theory


For obvious reasons this and other blogs that talk about the threat of contagion and systemic risk have focussed, almost exclusively, upon financial and ecological inter-connectedness.

HOWEVER, once again we see a “pattern from nature” in these Geo-Political events. The institutional model is and will continue to be under extreme pressure to change as it is the vehicle of the “elites” and in uncertain or turbulent economic times scrutiny and criticism will only increase. Only those that are “structurally resilient” can withstand the heat of a fire that started in Tunisia with a spark and is gathering in intensity as it spreads through peoples inter-connected on numerous levels. People unified by a common purpose…to bring about a cultural paradigm shift.

I would urge you to read: “Disaster myopia”: Failing to learn the lessons of increased uncertainty

A Fruit seller, whose cart was impounded, and complaints ignored, by authorities, set himself on fire in a desperate act of protest. His actions have since been mirrored across the Arab World. Egypt, Syria, Jordan, Saudi Arabia and Iran. This is a measure of how disenfranchised the citizens of these countries feel. Whether fuelled by Political or Religious oppression, an increasing gulf between the “have’s” and the “have not’s”, corruption, crumbling infrastructure, a lack of jobs or food the message is the same. The “elites” who preside over institutions that have given them power Read more of this post

NHS: Faith Healer required


NHS logo

Image via Wikipedia

Thankfully I don’t work within NHS. I have enormous respect and sympathy those people working hard to maintain the level of frontline services that an increasingly “sick” UK society needs.

But I cannot avoid the obvious conclusion that, contrary to what is reported below, the NHS is and has been for some time on, financial, life support. It isn’t “clinically dead” but it is and will continue to be too frail to operate on for as long as treatment is limited to treating symptoms and managing pain…

The NHS could reach “breaking point” within the next few years due to increasing demands on services, senior doctors have warned. The UK’s Royal College of Physicians said that financial pressures may mean junior doctors are not given training posts within the NHS, while the overall number of places at medical school could also drop. At the same time, their report said that medical services across the UK were facing extra burdens including limits on how many hours doctors can work, more hospital admissions and people living longer than ever before.

The doctors warned that services dedicated to looking after very ill people were facing particular strain. About 3,800 NHS jobs are set to go this year across Scotland, but unions have warned that relying on staff turnover to reduce numbers means some vital staff risk not being replaced. The latest warnings came in the annual census of members by the Federation of the Royal Colleges of Physicians (RCP) of the UK, which includes the organisations in Glasgow and Edinburgh. (Scotsman page 2,

A Complexity Manifesto, Capitalists Continue to Increase Complexity Within Their Spheres of Production


“Every limit appears as a barrier to be overcome” – Karl Marx (describing the world through a capitalist’s eyes)
There has been much debate since the global financial crisis of 2008 about what exactly happened and why. Some analysts believe that a period of deregulation in the financial sector, including the infamous repeal of Glass-Steagall (separating commercial and investment banking activities) [1], combined with reckless managerial decisions was the primary driver of a housing bubble, which led to a credit crunch and economic recession. Conservatives and libertarians tend to place the blame on government intervention in the housing and financial markets through Congressional legislation, such as the Community Reinvestment Act (putting pressure on banks to issue credit in low-income neighborhoods) [2], and the Federal Reserve’s loose monetary policy (targeting low interest rates during the tech and housing bubbles) [3].

More creative analysts trace the problem back at least several decades to a global credit bubble which has continuously been supported by both private economic actors and public policies [4]. Despite the significant differences in the views of these factions, there is an undeniable trend towards questioning economic dogmas previously thought to be fundamental and sound. Complexity theory provides a useful framework to analyze the inherent limits of our current economic system, which is now in the process of gradually breaking apart. It is especially insightful when applied to the dynamics of a global economy marked by capitalist relations of production.

 

via A Complexity Manifesto, Capitalists Continue to Increase Complexity Within Their Spheres of Production :: The Market Oracle :: Financial Markets Analysis.

Update: …More lessons from nature


COMMENTS (refer to original item for more):

After a random event like a forest fire some life remains in the scorched earth. However, apart from lost structure as an outcome [criticality] any remaining “structure” will have been starved of nourishment during the fire [ becoming fragile]. Survivors were those , often with the most robust root system, best equipped to survive, repair and stabilise. Then to renew and increase the inter-connections that are the framework and structure [complexity] that defines a complex dynamic system.

As the effectiveness of the interdependencies grows so does the complexity, diversity, robustness, chances of survival and…the ability to withstand [uncertainty] most events that beset a forest!!!

Dynamic systems are inherently complex and robust with sustainability “built in”. Exo/endo events that affect the stability, functionality, interdependencies, robustness are first reflected in the complexity of the system…..

I can’t, wouldn’t, claim credit for this extremely interesting extract from a really well informed blog by Ashwin Parameswaran – the link to the item is below and, if you like this I would recommend a visit. In view of the continuing displays of utter dis-engagement from the real world – where citizens dwell – by [the bankers’ and Corporations’ pawns] those we refer to as “Political Leaders”, I really wanted to get this out there for some thought … Read More

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