[Ontonix] Coping With Turbulence: More Theories and Math?


…math is often used to model things that cannot be modeled (in the sense that the results such models produce are mathematically correct but totally irrelevant). Risk, and especially the consequences of risk, are something that math is unable to embrace. This is because risk lacks a definition, a metric (standard deviation is NOT a measure of risk) and, most importantly, because it is a reflection of subjective human sentiments as to the potential level of regret after some hazardous circumstance has actually materialized. Now how do you measure that?

See on Scoop.itComplexity & Resilience
Author : Ontonix
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Use yer heid:: conventional wisdom requires a sound basis


Here is a piece that I found particularly interesting. The full article can be found here.

Neuroplasticity refers to the brain’s capacity to modify its organization, pertaining to the acquisition of new skills and learning. Several decades ago, the consensus was that the neocortical areas were immutable after a certain stage of development. However, recent studies determined that environmental changes could alter cognition by modifying neuron connections in adults. What’s more, it was determined that stress is the key factor in boosting plasticity, and learning, in the nervous system.

In other words, when the going gets tough, the tough get going. The brain says to itself: “Oh, my survival is at risk, so I’d better start thinking and learning really hard right now.” It’s only when you have skin in the game that you’ll really focus and learn.

Unfortunately there are still too many people who have difficulty in coming to terms with the FACT that, the others, who have always been around and tended to make things all right, can no longer be relied upon to do so!

Who’s that then?neural plasticity

The institutions that we were brought up to trust.

Organisations that could be trusted but who have shown themselves more concerned about holding on to power and/or wealth, than responding to he changes that right-minded people are, increasingly, calling for. Any innovation is on their terms and, first and foremost, for their benefit – destructive creation.

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Tim Harford:: Trial, error and the God complex I TED Talks


We don’t know what we don’t know and, even though we know that we don’t know, we STILL don’t want to know!!!

A standout lecture from Tim Harford that would benefit little from some dull introduction by me! I couldn’t help but note some words and phrases that sprang to mind as I enjoyed this video…it isn’t a complete Iist nor is it in a precise order just what I could remember! So feel free to contribute

THE BEGINNING: information – simplicity – system – interdependence –complexity – biology – survival – adaptability – empathy – iteration – fractal – scale – physics – risk – evolution – fallibility – innovation – politics – learning – statistics – correlation – transparency – assumption – uncertainty – psychological denial – mathematics – critical complexity – release* – simplification: THE END or another BEGINNING…   Read more of this post