Connecting the dissident dots…”Tipping Points”


Mark Mobius is one of the most influential voices in Global investments and he is talking about when and what, NOT “if”, in terms of “tipping point” for the next global financial crisis. He’s right..

The foundations of the world economic system are so decayed and so corrupted that even a stiff breeze could potentially topple the entire structure over. Over the past couple of months a constant parade of bad economic news has come streaming in from Europe, Asia and the United States. Signs of an impending economic slowdown are everywhere. So what “tipping point” will trigger the next global economic downturn? Nobody knows for sure, but potential tipping points are all around us. Read more of this post

Updated: What was Machiavelli talking about?


I make NO APOLOGY for re-blogging one of my own posts and a pretty recent one at that!

I wanted to add Japan to the list of unforeseen events and to re-pose (if that isn’t just a word I have made up) the question: what can we, sensibly, “take for granted” or should we always expect and prepare for the unexpected?

What was Machiavelli talking about? Image via Wikipedia   Or is it really important to know? Because many of his words are so profound that they transcend disciplines, scenarios and centuries! “…in its beginning it is easy to cure, but hard to recognise; whereas, after a time, not having been detected and treated at the first, it becomes easy to recognise but impossible to cure.” – Niccolo Machiavelli If I had attributed the statement to: a respected Economist on the subject o … Read More

via Get “fit for randomness” [with Ontonix UK]

Connecting the dissident dots from…Glasgow to the Great Pyramid: a practical lesson in Complexity Theory


Long before I gained any real understanding of  complexity, systems, fractals and power laws it had struck me how very different – I choose the word in preference to “better” – the world had become!

For some time now we have had the tools to facilitate communication like we had never experienced. But there was something fundamental missing…a widespread understanding of just how to put it to “good use”.

For as long as I can remember I have believed in and advocated interdependence [even though at various times in my life I have found it difficult to practice what I preach – delegation has never been a strong point!] and worked in an industry that, patently, doesn’t get it. The financial sector thrived, grew fat, lazy and untrusted by structuring (increasingly) win/lose contracts where value was replaced by advertising, hard-sell marketing and cheap prices.

Abandoning quality for quantity; mis-selling inferior products; misrepresenting debt as credit; abusing customer loyalty and inertia; peddling the myth of financial independence and contaminating a generation… Read more of this post

What was Machiavelli talking about?


Niccolo Machiavelli 1

Image via Wikipedia

Or is it really important to know? Because many of his words are so profound that they transcend disciplines, scenarios and centuries!

“…in its beginning it is easy to cure, but hard to recognise; whereas, after a time, not having been detected and treated at the first, it becomes easy to recognise but impossible to cure.”

– Niccolo Machiavelli

If I had attributed the statement to: a respected Economist on the subject of sources of the global banking crisis or sovereign debt; an experienced Political commentator about the situation in Egypt;  a GP, talking about Cholesterol; an Oncologist, talking about cancer; an ecologist on global warming; an accident investigator identifying the cause of a man-made disaster; or one of my colleagues referring to business complexity, there may be some scope to debate the finer points but not the “essence” of the message!

Prevention is better than cure!

Read more of this post